Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 300.181653 340.467825 385.498550 439.813075 503.879206 577.447038 668.898380
2025-02-09 239.879375 292.181500 356.109235 440.995979 552.270770 695.327955 896.739745
2025-02-16 201.725846 256.971344 328.458403 429.574302 571.964759 770.138353 1075.744466
2025-02-23 176.031487 232.147380 308.069139 421.013413 589.642940 840.473449 1258.980321
2025-03-02 162.274647 220.766026 303.160225 431.569075 634.135055 955.365708 1534.833935
2025-03-09 148.459732 207.227463 292.839333 431.617111 661.166714 1046.275966 1791.739702
2025-03-16 134.943005 192.426316 278.555169 422.909473 671.634447 1110.052836 2014.268116
2025-03-23 125.797807 183.109274 271.349918 424.159798 698.357125 1206.438439 2325.412759
2025-03-30 115.811562 171.463695 259.112025 415.129631 704.934047 1265.689270 2574.595588
2025-04-06 108.495065 163.327729 251.631776 413.174594 723.867508 1352.220161 2910.651661
2025-04-13 98.861316 150.636436 235.383996 393.573811 705.797606 1358.656583 3055.175924
2025-04-20 96.349852 149.419678 238.379204 409.442528 760.384358 1532.228780 3688.070104
2025-04-27 94.770619 149.760985 244.325699 432.132676 834.178235 1769.964630 4610.542744
2025-05-04 90.003773 144.253133 239.362280 432.962852 861.281905 1903.685737 5288.109134
2025-05-11 84.071188 136.238441 229.090443 421.808459 859.515352 1963.876320 5754.450092
2025-05-18 79.067688 129.514343 220.641367 413.437081 862.894292 2038.802187 6312.005232
2025-05-25 76.814147 127.573896 221.034102 423.758397 912.859799 2255.974957 7532.788026
2025-06-01 73.528471 123.493701 216.933070 423.805363 937.336835 2406.295758 8580.357966
2025-06-08 69.562907 117.881249 209.370916 415.291159 938.415979 2485.885817 9369.332758
2025-06-15 66.943010 114.630951 206.251869 416.513765 965.567203 2656.763410 10723.832726
2025-06-22 63.500459 109.594678 199.134859 407.683368 963.883837 2731.783651 11645.893573
2025-06-29 60.979854 106.187977 195.115042 405.771451 981.445876 2879.593621 13104.990571
2025-07-06 57.017700 99.752233 184.367082 386.600359 946.425359 2828.837954 13340.992849